I believe we’re approaching the final 3-5 years of prevalent piracy for several reasons:

  • Software: The difficulty of cracking and modifying software has significantly increased.

  • Movies and TV Shows: Numerous streaming sites have been shut down or faced legal penalties.

  • Adult Content: New releases are often removed within 1-5 weeks, and many older titles are no longer available on piracy platforms.

Given these trends, what might a post-piracy world entail?

  • @cmnybo@discuss.tchncs.de
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    578 months ago

    There is so much good, open source software that I haven’t had to pirate any software in years.

    As far as movies and TV, the piracy won’t stop until the enshittification stops. Usenet and torrents won’t go anywhere.

    • NightoftheLemmy
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      198 months ago

      This is so true regarding software. The FOSS apps present today are good enough with adequate features for daily day users like me - whether on Linux, Windows & especially Android (almost all my apps there are FOSS). I simply haven’t had the need to pirate software for a decade now.

      Now games and media, that’s a whole different story. Coming from a third world country, I simply can’t fuel my gaming desires with a weak currency that even great services like steam hardly makes a difference. Therefore - sailing the high seas.

    • @LemmyQuest@lemm.eeOP
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      78 months ago

      Open source software offers significant benefits, but there are still many positions that remain unfilled. Specifically, it falls short in areas such as professional software (like AutoCAD) and business management software (such as QuickBooks Desktop and ERP systems).

      • ReallyZen
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        48 months ago

        There’s a difference here that I describe as “pro” meaning specialized, complex software targeted at big businesses vs individual tools of the trade: Vectorworks is gonna get paid for happily by companies needing support and relying on it for critical output, while your next door young architect will run an outdated, cracked version of AutoCAD because it’s just too expensive - that kid could (and should) run Qcad.

        Where I see pirated software surviving is also as a form of legacy support: if you run old hardware (i.e. 32bits), that’s where “pro” software is gonna suck & leave you dry, while torrents are still out there.

        In gaming or media, cracking looks like a sport, I feel people just want to have fun blowing restrictions to pieces. It’s heartwarming!

        Back to the 'tools of the trade" category, I am happy to pay a moderate price to support a talented dev (Isadora, D::Light) but get understandably annoyed at huge businesses practicing insufferable licensing schemes. I wish people start looking, and using then supporting more alternatives out there - but isn’t photoshop still crack-able because it helps it dominate the market where The Gimp would do if it was the standard?

  • BreakDecks
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    458 months ago

    There has never been a better time to use free open source software. Software piracy is actually less convenient today. Game piracy is really only dead for big multiplayer games, which makes sense since they rely on online services.

    Pirate streaming sites were a stupid thing to begin with. I’m happy to see them and the malware they push die. Torrents and P2P will always be king.

    Porn piracy is absolutely huge. I think you’re just doing a bad job downloading it.

    A post piracy world can only be one thing: crushing authoritarianism. That’s the only way piracy dies.

    • Chahk
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      8 months ago

      Porn piracy is absolutely huge. I think you’re just doing a bad job downloading it.

      Unless you have a very particular kink or fetish, porn is the one thing that you can find for free all over the internet. You don’t even have to look that hard.

      Piracy of movies, TV, music, & books is alive and well with no intention of slowing down. If anything, the advent of streaming helped get media in higher quality sooner than before. It’s even easier if you’re willing to pay a little for a private tracker membership, of a Newsgroups subscription.

      Gaming is the most difficult part because cracking copy protections carry a very high risk of infecting your computer with a nasty virus. Even then, if you know where to look, there are trusted groups that value their reputation and pride themselves on releasing clean repacks.

      Bottom line is, there’s not going to be a “post-piracy world” OP asks about. The game simply changed to paying for a single all-in-one subscription instead of being nickel-and-dimed to death by corporations. And it’s already here.

    • haui
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      58 months ago

      I really like your way of thinking. Have a good one.

    • @Megaman_EXE@beehaw.org
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      18 months ago

      One thing that I recently saw being mentioned is that xbox 360 backups and downloads are hard to find and that the scene is pretty quiet. I have no idea how true this is as I haven’t personally checked, but I would be concerned about that.

      I suppose the demand isn’t there yet? Maybe it’ll take a while before people start to get into it more. I just hope that in the future, we figure out ways to make newer consoles more accessible, especially as companies attempt to shift towards digital downloads, etc.

    • @rockhandle@lemm.ee
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      18 months ago

      Game piracy is currently in a precarious position, given how difficult it’s become to crack denuvo. Games without denuvo still release very often, but especially in the AAA space, piracy is definitely slowing down

    • @onlinepersona@programming.dev
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      18 months ago

      I look forward to an opensource software and gaming industry. Godot and Bevvy games all over the place on opensource gaming stores that allow you to transfer money directly and in a privacy friendly manner using Taler (completely non-crypto) or openbanking.

      Yes, I dream, but it is possible.

      Anti Commercial AI thingy

      CC BY-NC-SA 4.0

  • @cooopsspace@infosec.pub
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    218 months ago

    Honestly my friends ask me tonnes of questions like this, including “what happens when AI takes over”, or “when everything mines your data”.

    I don’t think people realise how close me as an IT person is to going and living in an off grid cabin in the woods.

    • Joe
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      28 months ago

      Your friends will find you wherever you are and will continue asking you such questions. There is no escape.

  • @eighty@lemmy.one
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    8 months ago

    honestly not trying to be a shill but there was a brief period that caught a glimpse of a post-piracy world where there were very little streaming services that had all the content you could want. It moved me away from piracy because of the convenience, library, and being able to share with friends and family.

    Ideally a post-piracy world would have the options for uncensored/original versions of content, the ability to buy and store said content locally and own in perpetuity, with a price point for access to a vast library from a very small number of services. As many have said, the way to combat “piracy” is to offer a service better than piracy itself.

    • BreakDecks
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      128 months ago

      If video streaming worked the way music streaming does, that would be a major blow to piracy for sure.

      If I had to have Spotify, Deezer, Tidal, and Apple Music in order to listen to everything I want to listen to, I would subscribe to none of them and pirate all my music. Fortunately, most of these services have the same core catalog, the major difference between them is UX and extra features. You just choose the one you like and you’re set.

      No such luck with video streaming services which have nearly no overlap.

    • bane_killgrind
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      18 months ago

      Yeah same re: purchasing convenience vs pirating.

      Pirating is a juicy prospect once again.

  • @overload@sopuli.xyz
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    8 months ago

    FOSS alternatives are out there for most software. I don’t really care for pirating photoshop when GIMP is free.

    You can’t really kill P2P file sharing. If there is a need for creating a seed then someone will do it if the film/show is popular enough. Will probably be hosted through a DMCA non-compliant country.

    • @LemmyQuest@lemm.eeOP
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      48 months ago

      Actually, many old movies and shows are available on P2P networks, but the lack of seeders renders them inaccessible.

      • @overload@sopuli.xyz
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        58 months ago

        It depends on the movie, but I agree people do need to keep seeding more for those older, niche films.

    • Corroded
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      28 months ago

      Even if there was a multinational effort to stop P2P file sharing I feel like other methods would just be adopted or become mainstream

      • @ArcaneSlime@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        38 months ago

        Even then I still don’t think you could stop it. Maybe put a dent in it by taking down sites that host them, but all that’ll do really is push indexers onto .onion or i2p, or make it so you share the torrent files by word of mouth or matrix/telegram groups, or back to IRC.

        • Corroded
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          28 months ago

          A very good point. I had forgotten about I2P and I don’t know a ton about how hosting an onion site works

    • @Imgonnatrythis@sh.itjust.works
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      -18 months ago

      You do you, but any way you slice it Gimp is inferior to PS except for cost. My shipmates and I use piracy to level that field. I’m all for FOSS for privacy, security, diversity, competition, and niche applications that have minimal profit potential. I’m still going to use the best tools available to me though be they FOSS or otherwise. Smell you later land-lubber.

      • @overload@sopuli.xyz
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        38 months ago

        Sure, I have no issues with someone cracking adobe photoshop. In my case, I’m not going to be doing any serious photoshopping, so GIMP and KdenLive are suitable alternatives for me, a hobbyist, that wants the minimum effort required to use the tool every now and again.

  • Handles
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    168 months ago

    I think your examples apply only to a specific use case. In particular, for movies and TV shows — illegal streaming sites only account for one part of pirated material. I would assume many more simply download film/TV.

    Can’t speak to the others but I’m fairly sure that pirates will find a way to pirate no matter the obstacles.

  • sheepishly
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    148 months ago

    Can’t wait for the highly dystopic future where we transfer files via smoke signals

    • @MyNamesNotRobert@lemmynsfw.com
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      8 months ago

      It’ll happen some day. There will eventually be “Illegal” wireless transmitting devices that do things such as transmit data over disallowed frequencies, break the token rate speed limit imposed by the fcc (fuck 56k) and illegally use encryption (using data encryption on amateur radio is illegal). When they do start becoming a thing, they’ll be able to transmit data maybe a few miles at up to a megabyte per second (not 1 megabit), or for dozens of miles at a few kilobytes per second. Depending on whether the designers wanted to prioritize speed or distance.

      The technology exists to make such wireless transceivers using off the shelf parts available to normal people, there’s just no reason for them to exist. Yet.

      • sheepishly
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        18 months ago

        That actually sounds kinda awesome. Can’t wait to torrent the X-Files over websdr or some shit while pretending it’s Russian number stations

  • @rufus@discuss.tchncs.de
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    8 months ago

    I think 1) and 2) have already been that way for at least 15 years. Software copy protection used to be very simplistic and is getting improved constantly. Also when I grew up games didn’t yet talk to servers and they do it for quite some time already. Every new physical video format gets a new copy protection mechanism… DVD, BluRay,… now streaming services with DRM… Illegal sites get shut down all the time.

    The piracy scene also adapts, changes their methology. I’m pretty sure it’ll continue that way. I asked the same question 10 years ago and yet here we are.

    The adult content is getting worse though. But i think mainly for the big and well known commercial streaming sites. Maybe there are still torrents of that around and pirating adult content will get similar to pirating a tv series.

  • @Blackmist@feddit.uk
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    128 months ago

    As somebody who only got back into this recently (thanks Amazon, you sticking ads into Prime gave me the push I needed), it involves a lot of subscriptions and unavailable content.

  • 🇰 🌀 🇱 🇦 🇳 🇦 🇰 ℹ️
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    8 months ago

    To me, the term “post-piracy” means that piracy has taken over and is the norm; not that it’s been abolished. “After piracy has taken over…” I suspect wearing parrots on your shoulder would be much more in vogue.

    • @dandelion@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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      18 months ago

      exactly; there will always be piracy as long as piracy is needed, a post-piracy world is a utopia, even in the worst dystopia people find ways to “pirate”

  • PoliticallyIncorrect
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    8 months ago

    Piracy will never die, the one next step the industry goes the two next steps piracy goes. So basically this is a thing of cats and mice, it will never stop, it just goes and goes…

    There is no post-piracy world, while the private owned system remains there will be people pirating it.

    If private owned economic system never ends ergo piracy never ends also.

    Private owned system should end? Idk maybe yes maybe not, we should define what’s the point into ending it or not? If the system still maintain the pyramid scheme going what’s the point of getting rid of it?

    • @LemmyQuest@lemm.eeOP
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      -168 months ago

      Did you read my post?

      If you have read my post, you will understand the conclusion that I have reached.

      If you wish to validate your own conclusion, you need to address the issues raised here.

          • Cassa
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            98 months ago

            Piracy isn’t just internet sites that you stream shit on. Piracy is DVDs you bought or copied from a friend.

            your premise bases itself on a very small timeframe.

            (I also have no clue about software piracy getting harder - videogames you mean?)

  • ginerel
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    88 months ago

    No, I don’t think it will go like that.

    But if piracy would go away, then it would mean we live in a great world:

    • Software: FOSS/Freeware/Donationware software prevails. People want to use this kind of software, and this is the go-to for any appliance. People would be deeply affected if they could not use free (as both in freedom and/or money, as mentioned before) software - gone will be the days of everyone needing Adobe products or MS Office for their professional work, and the year of the Linux desktop would be in the history books.
    • Movies and TV shows: They would be available anywhere, on demand, in any format. Or there would be this website where you would go to and watch whatever you would, without ads. It would kinda be the same with music.
    • p0rn: I don’t have enough knowledge in this field, I just go to certain websites when I need. Guess it would be like on the previous point? idk.

    As long as those points are not achieved, there will always be a need for piracy, and people will always find new ways to get their content. So far, I do not see us being somewhere even close to that ideal world, so there are plenty of reasons for piracy to exist.

    I personally try to pirate things more ethically, for example I try to buy music and games whenever I can, but I know several people that pirate stuff just because they can.

  • @ArcaneSlime@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    68 months ago

    *Software: Idk, never really messed with pirating software, that’s how you become part of someone’s botnet.

    *Movies and TV shows: Torrents and Usenet.

    *Adult Content: Torrents and Usenet.

    *Music: Slsk and yt-dlp.

    • @LemmyQuest@lemm.eeOP
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      18 months ago

      The problem is not their absence from the P2P networks; rather, it’s the lack of seeders that renders them useless.

      • @ArcaneSlime@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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        18 months ago

        He’s right, usenet isn’t p2p, but finding old movies there can be a challenge. Still, I manage just fine for old movies with ipt and tl for the most part, or the rare thing I can only find on soulseek of all places. Archive actually has a bunch too.